Paide vs Vaprus: result 1-0 and analysis
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on April 9, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Paide linnastaadion, Paide
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What was the result of Paide vs Vaprus?
Paide won 1-0 on April 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 6′M. MillerPaide
Official lineup for Paide vs Vaprus
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Paide
- 9S. Reinkort
- 77D. Luts
- 8H. Ojamaa
- 10M. Miller
- 14R. Saarma
- 25Mouhamed Guèye I
- 28O. Hõim
- 23M. Delević
- 29J. Saliste
- 44D. Dubackic
- 99E. Jarju
Vaprus
- 7V. Vallik
- 8T. Pajo
- 17S. Kapper
- 42M. Limberg
- 20H. Välja
- 24M. Villota
- 90J. Sild
- 4Magnus Villota
- 28M. Lipp
- 43M. Seppik
- 16O. Nõmm
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paide have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Vaprus have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Tammeka(home) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Tallinna Kalev(home) | 5-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Trans Narva(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 4-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Kalju Nomme(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Laagri(home) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Tammeka(away) | 5-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 15, 2025 | FC Levadia Tallinn(home) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Flora Tallinn(away) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Trans Narva(away) | 1-3 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Paide wins, 1 draw, 1 Vaprus win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2024 | Vaprus 0-1 Paide | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Paide 1-0 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 18, 2024 | Paide 0-1 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Vaprus 0-3 Paide | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Paide 3-0 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 30, 2023 | Vaprus 1-1 Paide | Meistriliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Paide score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vaprus score 1.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paide | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Vaprus | 1.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paide sit 3rd in Meistriliiga (51 points from 30 matches) and Vaprus sit 7th (36 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Paide | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 51 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 61 | 36 |
A question about Paide vs Vaprus?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy