Paide vs Vaprus: result 2-0 and analysis
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Full time
What was the result of Paide vs Vaprus?
Paide won 2-0 on September 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 4′632923Paide
- 90′632923Paide
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Paide win at 59%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Paide vs Vaprus
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Paide
- 11M. Sohna
- 19S. Luts
- 20K. Piht
- 6Daniel Cabral
- 28O. Hõim
- 23J. Palacios
- 2M. Lilander
- 3Victor Hugo dos Santos de Sá
- 4Pedro Andrade Drozina
- 7E. Tur
- 12M. Meerits
Vaprus
- 8T. Pajo
- 9J. Põder
- 10S. Viidas
- 42M. Limberg
- 20H. Välja
- 24Mathias Villota
- 90J. Sild
- 5S. Aer
- 28M. Lipp
- 43M. Seppik
- 16O. Nõmm
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paide have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Vaprus have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Laagri(home) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Tammeka(away) | 2-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(home) | 0-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(away) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 26, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 0-4 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Laagri(home) | 3-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nõmme United(home) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Nõmme United(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kuressaare(away) | 2-2 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Paide wins, 0 draws, 2 Vaprus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Paide 3-1 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| May 6, 2026 | Paide 2-0 Vaprus | Cup |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Vaprus 3-2 Paide | Meistriliiga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Paide 3-0 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Vaprus 1-0 Paide | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Vaprus 1-2 Paide | Meistriliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Paide score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Vaprus score 1.9 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paide | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Vaprus | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paide sit 3rd in Meistriliiga (51 points from 30 matches) and Vaprus sit 7th (36 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Paide | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 51 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 61 | 36 |
A question about Paide vs Vaprus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy