Match

Puskas Academy vs Paks: prediction and stats

NB IRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Puskás Akadémia Pancho Aréna, Felcsút

Puskas AcademyPaks

The Footlab model makes Paks the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Puskas Academy. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Puskas Academy vs Paks?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Puskas Academy (1,894) and Paks (1,864).

Puskas Academy win37 %
Draw25 %
Paks win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puskas Academy have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Paks have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Puskas Academy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Vasas(away)1-0NB I
Aug 16, 2026Paks(home)3-2NB I
Aug 7, 2026MTK Budapest(away)3-2NB I
Jul 31, 2026Kisvarda FC(home)0-2NB I
Jul 26, 2026Debreceni VSC(away)2-0NB I
Paks
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Ujpest(home)2-0NB I
Aug 16, 2026Puskas Academy(away)2-3NB I
Aug 9, 2026Budapest Honved(home)2-2NB I
Aug 3, 2026Zalaegerszegi TE(away)2-5NB I
Jul 30, 2026Panathinaikos(away)2-2UEFA Europa Conference League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Puskas Academy win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Paks win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Puskas Academy 3-2 PaksNB I
Apr 19, 2026Paks 1-0 Puskas AcademyNB I
Jan 24, 2026Puskas Academy 1-2 PaksNB I
Sep 27, 2025Paks 3-2 Puskas AcademyNB I
Apr 19, 2025Paks 2-2 Puskas AcademyNB I
Dec 14, 2024Puskas Academy 3-1 PaksNB I

Last archived meeting: Puskas Academy vs Paks on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Puskas Academy score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Paks score 2.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Puskas Academy1.51.439/157/15
Paks2.52.3212/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Puskas Academy sit 1st in NB I (12 points from 5 matches) and Paks sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Puskas Academy54019612
6Paks521212127

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Puskas Academy vs Paks?
The Footlab model makes Paks the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Puskas Academy.
Where and when is Puskas Academy vs Paks played?
Puskas Academy vs Paks is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Puskás Akadémia Pancho Aréna, in the NB I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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