Villaralbo vs Mirandés II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Los Barreros, Villaralbo
The Footlab model makes Villaralbo the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Mirandés II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villaralbo vs Mirandés II?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Villaralbo (1,729) and Mirandés II (1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villaralbo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Mirandés II have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Mirandés II(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bembibre(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Villaralbo win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Mirandés II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Mirandés II 4-2 Villaralbo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Villaralbo 1-1 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Mirandés II 0-1 Villaralbo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Villaralbo 1-2 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Villaralbo 2-3 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Mirandés II 1-1 Villaralbo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Mirandés II vs Villaralbo on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villaralbo score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mirandés II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villaralbo | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Mirandés II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villaralbo sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (42 points from 34 matches) and Mirandés II sit 8th (47 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mirandés II | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 47 |
| 11 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29 | 37 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villaralbo vs Mirandés II?
- The Footlab model makes Villaralbo the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Mirandés II.
- Where and when is Villaralbo vs Mirandés II played?
- Villaralbo vs Mirandés II is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Los Barreros, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026AlmazánvsBembibre
- Dec 6, 2026Burgos PromesasvsGuijuelo
- Dec 6, 2026Cultural Leonesa IIvsLa Virgen del Camino
- Dec 6, 2026Salamanca IIvsCristo Atlético
- Dec 6, 2026UD Santa MartavsAtlético Mansillés
- Dec 6, 2026Colegios DiocesanosvsArandina
- Dec 6, 2026Palencia CFvsUnionistas II
- Dec 6, 2026Calasanz de SoriavsTurégano