Almazán vs Bembibre: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, Almazán
The Footlab AI model makes Almazán the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almazán wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almazán vs Bembibre?
On Elo ratings, Almazán has 1,772 points and Bembibre 1,720.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almazán vs Bembibre
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almazán
Not enough data to predict the Almazán lineup.
Bembibre
Not enough data to predict the Bembibre lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 04:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almazán have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bembibre have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 2-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Arandina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Almazán wins, 4 draws, 0 Bembibre wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Bembibre 2-2 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Almazán 1-1 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Bembibre 1-1 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Almazán 4-1 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Bembibre 0-1 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Almazán 2-2 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Almazán score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bembibre score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almazán | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Bembibre | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almazán sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (10 points from 7 matches) and Bembibre sit 4th (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bembibre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 9 | Almazán | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Almazán vs Bembibre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almazán vs Bembibre?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almazán the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Bembibre.
- Where and when is Almazán vs Bembibre played?
- Almazán vs Bembibre is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026Burgos PromesasvsGuijuelo
- Dec 6, 2026Cultural Leonesa IIvsLa Virgen del Camino
- Dec 6, 2026Salamanca IIvsCristo Atlético
- Dec 6, 2026UD Santa MartavsAtlético Mansillés
- Dec 6, 2026Colegios DiocesanosvsArandina
- Dec 6, 2026Palencia CFvsUnionistas II
- Dec 6, 2026VillaralbovsMirandés II
- Dec 6, 2026Calasanz de SoriavsTurégano