Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 20Kick-off on July 26, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Parque, São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG?
Atletico-MG won 1-2 on July 26, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 54′Victor HugoAtletico-MG
- 75′Felipe AndersonPalmeiras
- 77′Igor GomesAtletico-MG
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Palmeiras win at 59%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Palmeiras
4-3-2-1- 10Paulinho
- 11J. Arias
- 18Maurício
- 8Andreas Pereira
- 32E. Martínez
- 17Marlon Freitas
- 22J. Piquerez
- 26Murilo
- 15G. Gómez
- 4A. Giay
- 1Carlos Miguel
Atletico-MG
4-2-3-1- 9M. Cassierra
- 11Bernard
- 30Victor Hugo
- 23A. Preciado
- 8Maycon
- 25T. Pérez
- 16Renan Lodi
- 13Lyanco
- 4Ruan Tressoldi
- 2Natanael
- 22Everson
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palmeiras have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Atletico-MG have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Coritiba(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| May 31, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 28, 2026 | Junior(home) | 4-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 24, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| May 21, 2026 | Cerro Porteno(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Bahia(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 31, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 27, 2026 | Puerto Cabello(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 24, 2026 | Corinthians(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 21, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Palmeiras wins, 1 draw, 1 Atletico-MG win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Atletico-MG 2-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Atletico-MG 0-3 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Palmeiras 3-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Palmeiras 2-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jun 17, 2024 | Atletico-MG 0-4 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2023 | Palmeiras 0-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico-MG vs Palmeiras on Jan 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Palmeiras score 1.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | 1.9 | 0.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palmeiras sit 2nd in Serie A (66 points from 31 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 6th (50 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54 | 22 | 66 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 35 | 50 |
A question about Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy