Gremio vs Fluminense: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 20Kick-off on July 26, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Fluminense?
Gremio and Fluminense drew 1-1 on July 26, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 65′HulkFluminense (pen.)
- 89′Diego CaitoGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fluminense have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 2-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| May 26, 2026 | Atletico Torque(home) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 23, 2026 | Santos(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 31, 2026 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 28, 2026 | Deportivo La Guaira(home) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 23, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 19, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Fluminense 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Gremio 1-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Fluminense 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Fluminense 2-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Fluminense 2-1 Gremio | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Gremio 2-1 Fluminense | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 23 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy