Gremio vs Fluminense: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 20Kick-off on July 26, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Fluminense?
Gremio and Fluminense drew 1-1 on July 26, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 65′HulkFluminense (pen.)
- 89′Diego CaitoGremio
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Fluminense win at 36%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Gremio vs Fluminense
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Gremio
4-1-4-1- 95Carlos Vinícius
- 9F. Amuzu
- 5J. Nardoni
- 20M. Villasanti
- 21Tetê
- 19E. Noriega
- 23Marlon
- 4W. Kannemann
- 6Gustavo Martins
- 7C. Pavón
- 12Gabriel Grando
Fluminense
4-2-3-1- 7Hulk
- 17A. Canobbio
- 32L. Acosta
- 90K. Serna
- 35Hércules
- 8Martinelli
- 13Guilherme Arana
- 22J. Freytes
- 3Thiago Silva
- 23Guga
- 1Fábio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fluminense have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 2-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| May 26, 2026 | Atletico Torque(home) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 23, 2026 | Santos(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 31, 2026 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 28, 2026 | Deportivo La Guaira(home) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 23, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 19, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gremio win, 1 draw, 4 Fluminense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Fluminense 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Gremio 1-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Fluminense 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Fluminense 2-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Fluminense 2-1 Gremio | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Gremio 2-1 Fluminense | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 18th in Serie A (31 points from 30 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (51 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 51 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 31 |
A question about Gremio vs Fluminense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy