Palmeiras vs Bahia: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 17Kick-off on August 19, 2011 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Allianz Parque, São Paulo, São Paulo
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What was the result of Palmeiras vs Bahia?
Palmeiras and Bahia drew 1-1 on August 19, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 54′J. ValdiviaPalmeiras
- 66′TitiBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palmeiras have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Bahia have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2011 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Gremio(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 4, 2011 | Coritiba(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 31, 2011 | Atletico-MG(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 28, 2011 | Figueirense(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2011 | Internacional(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 7, 2011 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 5, 2011 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Jul 31, 2011 | Figueirense(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 28, 2011 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Palmeiras score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Bahia | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palmeiras sit 1st in Serie A (51 points from 24 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 51 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy