Panadería Pulido vs Los Llanos: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, Vega de San Mateo
The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Los Llanos. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panadería Pulido vs Los Llanos?
Panadería Pulido starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,813 vs 1,638).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panadería Pulido have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Los Llanos have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 16, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Atlético Paso(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 4, 2025 | Tamaraceite(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Las Palmas II(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Herbania(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | San Bartolomé(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Panadería Pulido win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Los Llanos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Los Llanos 1-2 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Panadería Pulido 1-1 Los Llanos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Los Llanos vs Panadería Pulido on May 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Panadería Pulido score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Los Llanos score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panadería Pulido | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Los Llanos | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Panadería Pulido | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panadería Pulido vs Los Llanos?
- The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Los Llanos.
- Where and when is Panadería Pulido vs Los Llanos played?
- Panadería Pulido vs Los Llanos is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- May 9, 2027San Fernando CDvsMarino
- May 9, 2027Las Palmas IIIvsReal Unión de Tenerife
- May 9, 2027San BartolomévsLaguna de Duero
- May 9, 2027Tenerife CvsLanzarote
- May 9, 2027San MiguelvsUnión Sur Yaiza
- May 9, 2027AnazavsEstrella
- May 9, 2027Villaverde NortevsPlayas Sotavento