Match

San Fernando CD vs Marino: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Iberoamericano 2010, San Fernando

San Fernando CDMarino

The Footlab model makes San Fernando CD the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Marino. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Fernando CD vs Marino?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate San Fernando CD (1,746) and Marino (1,709).

San Fernando CD win52 %
Draw27 %
Marino win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Fernando CD have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Marino have 0, 10 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Fernando CD
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Tamaraceite(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026Tamaraceite(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 28, 2025Albacete(home)0-3Copa del Rey
May 4, 2025Cádiz II(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 27, 2025Juventud Torremolinos(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Marino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 2026Tenerife(home)0-6Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Arucas(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 1, 2026Villa Santa Brígida(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026Unión Sur Yaiza(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026San Miguel(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 San Fernando CD win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Marino win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2021Marino 0-1 San Fernando CDPrimera División RFEF - Group 4
Jan 10, 2021San Fernando CD 2-3 MarinoPrimera División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Marino vs San Fernando CD on Mar 21, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

San Fernando CD score 0.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Marino score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
San Fernando CD0.41.343/153/15
Marino0.71.538/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Marino3481511444039

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Fernando CD vs Marino?
The Footlab model makes San Fernando CD the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Marino.
Where and when is San Fernando CD vs Marino played?
San Fernando CD vs Marino is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Iberoamericano 2010, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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