Match

San Bartolomé vs Laguna de Duero: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 · Matchday 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, San Bartolomé

San BartoloméLaguna de Duero

The Footlab AI model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Laguna de Duero. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,579 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Bartolomé vs Laguna de Duero?

San Bartolomé starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,661 vs 1,487).

65%21%14%
San Bartolomé winDrawLaguna de Duero win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for San Bartolomé vs Laguna de Duero

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

San Bartolomé

Not enough data to predict the San Bartolomé lineup.

Laguna de Duero

Not enough data to predict the Laguna de Duero lineup.

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 01:19 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Bartolomé have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Laguna de Duero have 0, 3 and 12.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Bartolomé
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Villaverde Norte(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 31, 2026San Miguel(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 24, 2026Anaza(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 21, 2026Playas Sotavento(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 17, 2026Tenerife C(home)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Laguna de Duero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Lanzarote(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 31, 2026Estrella(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 24, 2026Unión Sur Yaiza(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 21, 2026Las Palmas III(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 17, 2026Playas Sotavento(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Laguna de Duero score 0.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
San Bartolomé1.11.249/155/15
Laguna de Duero0.92.709/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Bartolomé sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (10 points from 10 matches) and Laguna de Duero sit 18th (3 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13San Bartolomé10244131610
18Laguna de Duero1003710243

A question about San Bartolomé vs Laguna de Duero?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Bartolomé vs Laguna de Duero?
The Footlab AI model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Laguna de Duero.
Where and when is San Bartolomé vs Laguna de Duero played?
San Bartolomé vs Laguna de Duero is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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