San Bartolomé vs Laguna de Duero: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 · Matchday 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, San Bartolomé
The Footlab AI model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Laguna de Duero. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Bartolomé vs Laguna de Duero?
San Bartolomé starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,659 vs 1,486).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Bartolomé vs Laguna de Duero
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Bartolomé
Not enough data to predict the San Bartolomé lineup.
Laguna de Duero
Not enough data to predict the Laguna de Duero lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Bartolomé have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Laguna de Duero have 0, 3 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Anaza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Laguna de Duero score 0.9 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Bartolomé | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Laguna de Duero | 0.9 | 2.7 | 0 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Bartolomé sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (10 points from 10 matches) and Laguna de Duero sit 18th (3 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | San Bartolomé | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 10 |
| 18 | Laguna de Duero | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 3 |
A question about San Bartolomé vs Laguna de Duero?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Bartolomé vs Laguna de Duero?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Laguna de Duero.
- Where and when is San Bartolomé vs Laguna de Duero played?
- San Bartolomé vs Laguna de Duero is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- May 9, 2027Las Palmas IIIvsReal Unión de Tenerife
- May 9, 2027Panadería PulidovsLos Llanos
- May 9, 2027Tenerife CvsLanzarote
- May 9, 2027San MiguelvsUnión Sur Yaiza
- May 9, 2027AnazavsEstrella
- May 9, 2027Villaverde NortevsPlayas Sotavento