Where and when is San Miguel vs Unión Sur Yaiza played?

San Miguel vs Unión Sur Yaiza is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

San Miguel vs Unión Sur Yaiza: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

San Miguel

Unión Sur Yaiza

The Footlab model makes San Miguel the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Unión Sur Yaiza. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Miguel vs Unión Sur Yaiza?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate San Miguel (1,743) and Unión Sur Yaiza (1,715).

San Miguel win52 %

Draw28 %

Unión Sur Yaiza win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Miguel have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Unión Sur Yaiza have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Miguel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Las Palmas III(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Panadería Pulido(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Telde(away)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	Marino(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2026	Mensajero(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Unión Sur Yaiza
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Panadería Pulido(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Telde(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Marino(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 22, 2026	Arucas(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026	Mensajero(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 San Miguel win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Unión Sur Yaiza win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2026	Unión Sur Yaiza 3-0 San Miguel	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 18, 2025	San Miguel 2-4 Unión Sur Yaiza	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Unión Sur Yaiza vs San Miguel on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

San Miguel score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Sur Yaiza score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
San Miguel	1.2	1.1	4	6/15	7/15
Unión Sur Yaiza	1.1	1.1	7	4/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Miguel sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (39 points from 34 matches) and Unión Sur Yaiza sit 13th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	San Miguel	34	10	9	15	37	43	39
13	Unión Sur Yaiza	34	10	8	16	33	43	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Miguel vs Unión Sur Yaiza?: The Footlab model makes San Miguel the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Unión Sur Yaiza.
Where and when is San Miguel vs Unión Sur Yaiza played?: San Miguel vs Unión Sur Yaiza is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.