Panadería Pulido vs Real Unión de Tenerife: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, Vega de San Mateo
The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 52%, against 29% for a draw and 19% for Real Unión de Tenerife. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panadería Pulido vs Real Unión de Tenerife?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Panadería Pulido (1,809) and Real Unión de Tenerife (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panadería Pulido have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Real Unión de Tenerife have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 16, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Atlético Paso(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Herbania(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Panadería Pulido win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Real Unión de Tenerife win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Panadería Pulido 2-1 Real Unión de Tenerife | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Real Unión de Tenerife 1-4 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Panadería Pulido vs Real Unión de Tenerife on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Panadería Pulido score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Real Unión de Tenerife score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panadería Pulido | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Real Unión de Tenerife | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Panadería Pulido sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (55 points from 34 matches) and Real Unión de Tenerife sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Panadería Pulido | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 55 |
| 10 | Real Unión de Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 32 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panadería Pulido vs Real Unión de Tenerife?
- The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 52%, against 29% for a draw and 19% for Real Unión de Tenerife.
- Where and when is Panadería Pulido vs Real Unión de Tenerife played?
- Panadería Pulido vs Real Unión de Tenerife is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.