Match

San Fernando CD vs Unión Sur Yaiza: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Iberoamericano 2010, San Fernando

San Fernando CDUnión Sur Yaiza

The Footlab model makes San Fernando CD the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Unión Sur Yaiza. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Fernando CD vs Unión Sur Yaiza?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate San Fernando CD (1,746) and Unión Sur Yaiza (1,715).

San Fernando CD win52 %
Draw27 %
Unión Sur Yaiza win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Fernando CD have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Unión Sur Yaiza have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Fernando CD
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Tamaraceite(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026Tamaraceite(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 28, 2025Albacete(home)0-3Copa del Rey
May 4, 2025Cádiz II(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 27, 2025Juventud Torremolinos(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Unión Sur Yaiza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Panadería Pulido(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026Telde(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026Marino(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 22, 2026Arucas(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026Mensajero(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

San Fernando CD score 0.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Sur Yaiza score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
San Fernando CD0.41.343/153/15
Unión Sur Yaiza1.11.174/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Unión Sur Yaiza3410816334338

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Fernando CD vs Unión Sur Yaiza?
The Footlab model makes San Fernando CD the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Unión Sur Yaiza.
Where and when is San Fernando CD vs Unión Sur Yaiza played?
San Fernando CD vs Unión Sur Yaiza is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Iberoamericano 2010, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: San Fernando CD and Unión Sur Yaiza

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