Where and when is San Miguel vs Mensajero played?

San Miguel vs Mensajero is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

San Miguel vs Mensajero: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

San Miguel

Mensajero

The Footlab model makes San Miguel the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Mensajero. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Miguel vs Mensajero?

Mensajero starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,855 vs 1,739).

San Miguel win35 %

Draw30 %

Mensajero win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Miguel have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Mensajero have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Miguel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Las Palmas III(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Panadería Pulido(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Telde(away)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	Marino(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2026	Mensajero(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Mensajero
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Tamaraceite(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 16, 2026	Tamaraceite(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 10, 2026	UD San Fernando(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Arucas(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Villa Santa Brígida(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 San Miguel win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mensajero win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Mensajero 1-0 San Miguel	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Dec 6, 2025	San Miguel 0-0 Mensajero	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Mensajero vs San Miguel on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

San Miguel score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mensajero score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
San Miguel	1.2	1.1	4	6/15	7/15
Mensajero	1.3	0.9	7	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Miguel sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (39 points from 34 matches) and Mensajero sit 4th (63 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Mensajero	34	18	9	7	51	31	63
11	San Miguel	34	10	9	15	37	43	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Miguel vs Mensajero?: The Footlab model makes San Miguel the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Mensajero.
Where and when is San Miguel vs Mensajero played?: San Miguel vs Mensajero is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.