Osaka vs Kochi United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka
The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Kochi United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osaka vs Kochi United?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Osaka (1,716) and Kochi United (1,636).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Kochi United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 4-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Verspah Oita(away) | 0-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 0-7 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Osaka win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Kochi United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Kochi United 0-0 Osaka | J2/J3 League |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Osaka 2-2 Kochi United | J2/J3 League |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Osaka 1-0 Kochi United | J3 League |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Kochi United 1-2 Osaka | J3 League |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Kochi United 1-2 Osaka | Japan Football League |
| May 28, 2022 | Osaka 3-2 Kochi United | Japan Football League |
How many goals should we expect?
Osaka score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osaka | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Kochi United | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Osaka sit 7th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Kochi United sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Osaka | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 11 | Kochi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Kochi United?
- The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Kochi United.
- Where and when is Osaka vs Kochi United played?
- Osaka vs Kochi United is played on May 23, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 23, 2027FC GifuvsGainare Tottori
- May 23, 2027KanazawavsSagamihara
- May 23, 2027Matsumoto YamagavsFukushima United
- May 23, 2027Renofa YamaguchivsEhime FC
- May 23, 2027Roasso KumamotovsBiwako Shiga
- May 23, 2027Kamatamare SanukivsParceiro Nagano
- May 23, 2027Thespakusatsu GunmavsKagoshima United
- May 23, 2027KitakyushuvsFC Ryukyu