Parceiro Nagano vs Sagamihara: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, Nagano
The Footlab AI model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sagamihara wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,888 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Sagamihara?
Sagamihara starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,800 vs 1,647).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Parceiro Nagano vs Sagamihara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Parceiro Nagano
4-3-3- 18S. Yoshizawa
- 19H. Shoji
- 11K. Shin
- 28K. Fujikawa
- 8T. Kondo
- 40Y. Hasegawa
- 13Y. Tsukegi
- 26Shunki Nakata
- 7Y. Ono
- 24Zen Watanabe
- 21K. Nakano
Sagamihara
4-3-3- 9K. Sasaki
- 3K. Pytlik
- 15T. Maeda
- 10R. Nakayama
- 24R. Sugimoto
- 8Kosuke Kambe
- 19S. Okita
- 5R. Yamauchi
- 4T. Shimakawa
- 13M. Tokida
- 21Kim Min-Ho
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 04:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parceiro Nagano have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sagamihara have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Kitakyushu(away) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(away) | 2-0 | J3 League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Parceiro Nagano win, 4 draws, 1 Sagamihara win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sagamihara 1-1 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Sagamihara 2-1 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| May 3, 2025 | Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Sagamihara 1-1 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Parceiro Nagano 1-0 Sagamihara | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Parceiro Nagano score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sagamihara score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parceiro Nagano | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Sagamihara | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parceiro Nagano sit 11th in J3 League (17 points from 13 matches) and Sagamihara sit 8th (22 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sagamihara | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 22 |
| 11 | Parceiro Nagano | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 17 |
A question about Parceiro Nagano vs Sagamihara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parceiro Nagano vs Sagamihara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sagamihara the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Parceiro Nagano.
- Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Sagamihara played?
- Parceiro Nagano vs Sagamihara is played on April 29, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 29, 2027KanazawavsKochi United
- Apr 29, 2027Renofa YamaguchivsNara Club
- Apr 29, 2027Roasso KumamotovsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Apr 29, 2027Kamatamare SanukivsFC Ryukyu
- Apr 29, 2027KitakyushuvsFC Gifu
- Apr 29, 2027Kagoshima UnitedvsBiwako Shiga
- Apr 29, 2027Fukushima UnitedvsTochigi SC
- Apr 29, 2027Gainare TottorivsEhime FC