Sagamihara vs Renofa Yamaguchi: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
The Footlab AI model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Sagamihara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Renofa Yamaguchi wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,891 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sagamihara vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Sagamihara (1,800) and Renofa Yamaguchi (1,829).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sagamihara vs Renofa Yamaguchi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sagamihara
4-3-3- 9K. Sasaki
- 3K. Pytlik
- 15T. Maeda
- 10R. Nakayama
- 24R. Sugimoto
- 8Kosuke Kambe
- 19S. Okita
- 5R. Yamauchi
- 4T. Shimakawa
- 13M. Tokida
- 21Kim Min-Ho
Renofa Yamaguchi
4-3-3- 13Sota Watanabe
- 19S. Yamamoto
- 70R. Gunji
- 4K. Nakashima
- 17K. Tanabe
- 40H. Naruoka
- 5K. Yoshioka
- 33S. Kikuchi
- 2R. Ozawa
- 15T. Itakura
- 35K. Uchiyama
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 05:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagamihara have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Renofa Yamaguchi have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(away) | 2-0 | J3 League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-0 | J3 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kochi United(home) | 2-0 | J3 League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tochigi SC(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 2-0 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Sagamihara win, 1 draw, 1 Renofa Yamaguchi win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 Sagamihara | J3 League |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Sagamihara 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2 League |
| May 15, 2021 | Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 Sagamihara | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sagamihara score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagamihara | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sagamihara sit 8th in J3 League (22 points from 13 matches) and Renofa Yamaguchi sit 3rd (26 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 26 |
| 8 | Sagamihara | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 22 |
A question about Sagamihara vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sagamihara vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Sagamihara.
- Where and when is Sagamihara vs Renofa Yamaguchi played?
- Sagamihara vs Renofa Yamaguchi is played on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.