Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea: result 3-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueQuarter-finalsKick-off on April 2, 2014 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Parc des Princes, Paris
Full time
What was the result of Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea?
Paris Saint Germain won 3-1 on April 2, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 4′E. LavezziParis Saint Germain
- 27′E. HazardChelsea (pen.)
- 61′David LuizParis Saint Germain (o.g.)
- 90′J. PastoreParis Saint Germain
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paris Saint Germain have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Chelsea have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2014 | Nice(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 21, 2014 | Lorient(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 16, 2014 | Saint Etienne(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 12, 2014 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Mar 8, 2014 | Bastia(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | Crystal Palace(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 22, 2014 | Arsenal(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 18, 2014 | Galatasaray(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Mar 15, 2014 | Aston Villa(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2014 | Tottenham(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Paris Saint Germain score 2.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chelsea score 1.7 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 2.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Chelsea | 1.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paris Saint Germain sit 11th in UEFA Champions League (14 points from 8 matches) and Chelsea sit 6th (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 16 |
| 11 | Paris Saint Germain | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 14 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy