Paro vs Al Ansar: prediction and stats
AFC Challenge LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Woochu Sports Arena, Paro
The Footlab AI model makes Paro the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Al Ansar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paro wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paro vs Al Ansar?
Paro starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,724).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paro vs Al Ansar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paro
4-3-3- 66Nima Wangdi
- 25E. Asante
- 99T. Okereke Chimerie
- 40Yuta Suzuki
- 97R. Sagna
- 21M. Lama
- 4Goncalves Taygor
- 47K. Nurain
- 6Nima Tshering
- 11Kinley Wangchuk
- 1Gyeltshen Zangpo
Al Ansar
4-3-3- 31Hichem Houssam Eddine
- 14Mahdi Zein
- 13E. Malick Tall
- 4Nader Matar
- 8Sisi
- 12Ahmad Khairdien
- 5N. Nassar
- 2M. El Dor
- 3A. Sharqawi
- 27Khalil Bader
- 91Nazih Assaad
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paro have 15 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Al Ansar have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Thimphu City(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bhutan U19(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Transport United(away) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Ugyen Academy(away) | 10-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | RTC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Hikma(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Al Nejmeh(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Jwaaya FC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Al Ahed(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Al Nejmeh(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Paro score 4.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ansar score 2.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paro | 4.2 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Al Ansar | 2.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Paro vs Al Ansar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paro vs Al Ansar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paro the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Al Ansar.
- Where and when is Paro vs Al Ansar played?
- Paro vs Al Ansar is played on October 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Woochu Sports Arena, in the AFC Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.