Pasaia KE vs Aurrerá Vitoria: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Jesus Mari Zamora, Errenteria
The Footlab AI model makes Aurrerá Vitoria the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Pasaia KE. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aurrerá Vitoria wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,136 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pasaia KE vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
Aurrerá Vitoria starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,720 vs 1,589).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pasaia KE vs Aurrerá Vitoria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pasaia KE
Not enough data to predict the Pasaia KE lineup.
Aurrerá Vitoria
4-3-3- ÍÍñigo Hernández
- DDevis
- AAsier Ruiz
- MMartín Asurmendi
- MMikel Gonzalez
- AAritz Castro
- JJoel Martinez
- YYeray Terrazas
- HHodei Gastaminza
- JJon Rementería
- JJulen Barria
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 12:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pasaia KE have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Aurrerá Vitoria have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Derio(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Durango(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Beasain(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Santurtzi(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | San Ignacio(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Erandio(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Pasaia KE win, 1 draw, 2 Aurrerá Vitoria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria 3-1 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Pasaia KE 0-1 Aurrerá Vitoria | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Pasaia KE 1-1 Aurrerá Vitoria | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Aurrerá Vitoria 1-3 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Aurrerá Vitoria vs Pasaia KE on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pasaia KE score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aurrerá Vitoria score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pasaia KE | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Aurrerá Vitoria | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pasaia KE sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (10 points from 10 matches) and Aurrerá Vitoria sit 2nd (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 19 |
| 15 | Pasaia KE | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 10 |
A question about Pasaia KE vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pasaia KE vs Aurrerá Vitoria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aurrerá Vitoria the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Pasaia KE.
- Where and when is Pasaia KE vs Aurrerá Vitoria played?
- Pasaia KE vs Aurrerá Vitoria is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Jesus Mari Zamora, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.