Santurtzi vs San Ignacio: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Jorge, Santurtzi
The Footlab model makes San Ignacio the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Santurtzi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santurtzi vs San Ignacio?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Santurtzi (1,687) and San Ignacio (1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santurtzi have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; San Ignacio have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eibar III(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Durango(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Zamudio(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Zarautz(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | La Calzada(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Touring(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Leioa(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Santurtzi win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 San Ignacio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | San Ignacio 3-1 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Santurtzi 1-0 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Santurtzi 0-0 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | San Ignacio 2-0 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 24, 2021 | Santurtzi 1-0 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 15, 2020 | San Ignacio 2-1 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: San Ignacio vs Santurtzi on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santurtzi score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Ignacio score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santurtzi | 0.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| San Ignacio | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santurtzi sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (39 points from 34 matches) and San Ignacio sit 7th (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | San Ignacio | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 37 | 27 | 55 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 32 | 45 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santurtzi vs San Ignacio?
- The Footlab model makes San Ignacio the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Santurtzi.
- Where and when is Santurtzi vs San Ignacio played?
- Santurtzi vs San Ignacio is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Jorge, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.