Castellanzese vs Oltrepò: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone DGroup D · Matchday 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Giovanni Provasi, Castellanza
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What was the result of Castellanzese vs Oltrepò?
Oltrepò won 0-1 on September 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 39′681735Oltrepò
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Castellanzese win at 38%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellanzese have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Oltrepò have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 10, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Milan II(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Brusaporto(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villa Valle(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sondrio(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Castellanzese wins, 1 draw, 1 Oltrepò win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Oltrepò 2-0 Castellanzese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Castellanzese 2-2 Oltrepò | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Oltrepò vs Castellanzese on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Castellanzese score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Oltrepò score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellanzese | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Oltrepò | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellanzese sit 4th in Serie D - Girone D (19 points from 11 matches) and Oltrepò sit 18th (5 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Castellanzese | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| 18 | Oltrepò | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 5 |
A question about Castellanzese vs Oltrepò?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy