Pavia vs Varesina: result 2-2 and analysis
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Pavia vs Varesina?
Pavia and Varesina drew 2-2 on October 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 8′686310Varesina
- 21′686311Pavia
- 64′625055Varesina
- 84′635501Pavia (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pavia have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Varesina have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 1-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pro Patria(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Pavia wins, 2 draws, 0 Varesina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Pavia 1-1 Varesina | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Varesina 2-2 Pavia | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pavia score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Varesina score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavia | 0.9 | 1.2 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Varesina | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pavia sit 11th in Serie D - Girone D (8 points from 8 matches) and Varesina sit 13th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pavia | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 13 | Varesina | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Pavia vs Varesina?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy