Match

Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo: prediction and stats

Segunda División2nd Phase - 26Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Parque Artigas, Paysandú

PaysanduUruguay Montevideo

The Footlab AI model makes Paysandu the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Uruguay Montevideo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paysandu wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,751 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo?

On Elo ratings, Paysandu has 1,660 points and Uruguay Montevideo 1,562.

51%27%22%
Paysandu winDrawUruguay Montevideo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Paysandu

Not enough data to predict the Paysandu lineup.

Uruguay Montevideo

Not enough data to predict the Uruguay Montevideo lineup.

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 07:16 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paysandu have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Uruguay Montevideo have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Paysandu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Oriental(away)1-1Segunda División
Oct 26, 2026Colón(home)3-2Segunda División
Oct 17, 2026Fenix(away)1-0Segunda División
Oct 10, 2026Rentistas(home)2-1Segunda División
Oct 3, 2026Miramar(away)0-1Segunda División
Uruguay Montevideo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Sportivo Huracan(home)0-0Segunda División
Oct 24, 2026CA River Plate(away)2-1Segunda División
Oct 18, 2026Oriental(away)1-1Segunda División
Oct 10, 2026Colón(home)1-3Segunda División
Oct 4, 2026Fenix(away)0-2Segunda División

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Paysandu wins, 0 draws, 1 Uruguay Montevideo win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Uruguay Montevideo 1-0 PaysanduSegunda División

Last archived meeting: Uruguay Montevideo vs Paysandu on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Paysandu score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Uruguay Montevideo score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Paysandu1.41.139/157/15
Uruguay Montevideo0.91.438/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Paysandu sit 5th in Segunda División (35 points from 25 matches) and Uruguay Montevideo sit 14th (22 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Paysandu2510510333235
14Uruguay Montevideo255713233622

A question about Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo?
The Footlab AI model makes Paysandu the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Uruguay Montevideo.
Where and when is Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo played?
Paysandu vs Uruguay Montevideo is played on November 14, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Parque Artigas, in the Segunda División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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