Pelhřimov vs Kuřim: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 9Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion TJ Spartak Pelhřimov, Pelhřimov
The Footlab model makes Kuřim the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Pelhřimov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pelhřimov vs Kuřim?
Kuřim starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,721 vs 1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pelhřimov have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kuřim have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tatran Bohunice(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sokol Tasovice(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Havlíčkův Brod(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Sokol Tasovice(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Chotebor(away) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Humpolec(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Znojmo(away) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Prostějov(home) | 0-7 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chotebor(home) | 8-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ždírec nad Doubravou(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Pelhřimov win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kuřim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Kuřim 8-1 Pelhřimov | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Pelhřimov 1-1 Kuřim | 4. liga - Divizie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Pelhřimov score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kuřim score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelhřimov | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Kuřim | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pelhřimov sit 4th in 4. liga - Divizie D (4 points from 2 matches) and Kuřim sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kuřim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Pelhřimov | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Kuřim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Pelhřimov | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pelhřimov vs Kuřim?
- The Footlab model makes Kuřim the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Pelhřimov.
- Where and when is Pelhřimov vs Kuřim played?
- Pelhřimov vs Kuřim is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion TJ Spartak Pelhřimov, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.