Tatran Bohunice vs Sparta Brno: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 9Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tatran Brno Bohunice, Brno
The Footlab model makes Tatran Bohunice the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Sparta Brno. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tatran Bohunice vs Sparta Brno?
Tatran Bohunice starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,708 vs 1,594).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tatran Bohunice have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Sparta Brno have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pelhřimov(away) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ždírec nad Doubravou(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Velká Bíteš(away) | 4-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Uherský Brod(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Líšeň II(home) | 0-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chotebor(home) | 2-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Žďár nad Sázavou(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sokol Lanžhot(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FS Třebíč(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vrchovina(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tatran Bohunice win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sparta Brno win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Sparta Brno 0-0 Tatran Bohunice | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Tatran Bohunice 2-0 Sparta Brno | 4. liga - Divizie D |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Brno vs Tatran Bohunice on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tatran Bohunice score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Brno score 2.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatran Bohunice | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Sparta Brno | 2.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tatran Bohunice sit 1st in 4. liga - Divizie D (4 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Brno sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatran Bohunice | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Tatran Bohunice | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Sparta Brno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Sparta Brno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tatran Bohunice vs Sparta Brno?
- The Footlab model makes Tatran Bohunice the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Sparta Brno.
- Where and when is Tatran Bohunice vs Sparta Brno played?
- Tatran Bohunice vs Sparta Brno is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tatran Brno Bohunice, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.