Warta Sieradz vs Weszlo: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Sieradz
The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Weszlo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Weszlo?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Warta Sieradz (1,849) and Weszlo (1,798).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Sieradz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Weszlo have 5, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Weszlo score 2.8 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Sieradz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Weszlo | 2.8 | 0.4 | 3 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Sieradz sit 12th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Weszlo sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 12 | Warta Sieradz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Sieradz vs Weszlo?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Weszlo.
- Where and when is Warta Sieradz vs Weszlo played?
- Warta Sieradz vs Weszlo is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- May 15, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsTroszyn
- May 15, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsŁKS Łódź II
- May 15, 2027SwitvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- May 15, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsPelikan Łowicz
- May 15, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsJagiellonia II
- May 15, 2027Widzew IIvsMławianka Mława
- May 15, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsŁomża