Elche II vs Valencia II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Díez Iborra (Ciudad Deportiva de Elche), Elche
The Footlab model makes Elche II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Valencia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elche II vs Valencia II?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Elche II (1,856) and Valencia II (1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elche II have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Valencia II have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tenerife II(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Olot(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Espanyol II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 3-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Elche II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Valencia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Elche II 2-0 Valencia II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Valencia II 0-1 Elche II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Valencia II 0-0 Elche II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Elche II 1-1 Valencia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Elche II vs Valencia II on Jan 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Elche II score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Valencia II score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche II | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Valencia II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elche II sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (47 points from 34 matches) and Valencia II sit 6th (53 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Valencia II | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 35 | 53 |
| 10 | Elche II | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elche II vs Valencia II?
- The Footlab model makes Elche II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Valencia II.
- Where and when is Elche II vs Valencia II played?
- Elche II vs Valencia II is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Díez Iborra (Ciudad Deportiva de Elche), in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.