Penafiel vs Felgueiras 1932: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaMatchday 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
The Footlab AI model makes Penafiel the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Felgueiras 1932. The most likely score is 1-1. If Penafiel wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,059 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penafiel vs Felgueiras 1932?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Penafiel (1,993) and Felgueiras 1932 (1,964).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Penafiel vs Felgueiras 1932
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Penafiel
3-4-3- 17João Pinto
- 9Max Svensson
- 11J. Fuentes
- 21Pedro Sá
- 8Àlex Carbonell
- 50Francisco Varela
- 38M. Ramon
- 2Iano Imbene
- 6Adrián Pica
- 7Douglas Borel
- 1Miguel Oliveira
Felgueiras 1932
3-5-2- 19Lucas da Costa Duarte
- 9Tiago Rafael Fernandes Leiite
- 77Francisco França
- 10Michel Costa
- 20Rodrigo Santos Ribeiro
- 6Henrique Martins
- 8Landinho
- 3João Pinto
- 23Afonso de Freitas
- 70B. Ouacharaf
- 14Mateus Pasinato
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Felgueiras 1932 have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 3-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Farense(away) | 4-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leça(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 9, 2026 | AVS(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 3-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 2-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fafe(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Benfica B(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Penafiel wins, 1 draw, 1 Felgueiras 1932 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932 1-2 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932 0-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Penafiel 2-0 Felgueiras 1932 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Felgueiras 1932 1-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Penafiel 2-1 Felgueiras 1932 | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Felgueiras 1932 vs Penafiel on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Felgueiras 1932 score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Felgueiras 1932 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penafiel sit 1st in Segunda Liga (22 points from 10 matches) and Felgueiras 1932 sit 15th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penafiel | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 22 |
| 15 | Felgueiras 1932 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Penafiel vs Felgueiras 1932?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penafiel vs Felgueiras 1932?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penafiel the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Felgueiras 1932.
- Where and when is Penafiel vs Felgueiras 1932 played?
- Penafiel vs Felgueiras 1932 is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.