Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Lusitânia FC, Lourosa
The Footlab model makes Lusitânia Lourosa the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Sporting CP B. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Lusitânia Lourosa (1,923) and Sporting CP B (1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lusitânia Lourosa have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sporting CP B have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AVS(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Academico Viseu(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Lusitânia Lourosa win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sporting CP B win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa 1-0 Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Sporting CP B 4-0 Lusitânia Lourosa | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Lusitânia Lourosa 2-1 Sporting CP B | Liga 3 |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Sporting CP B 1-0 Lusitânia Lourosa | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lusitânia Lourosa score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP B score 0.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lusitânia Lourosa | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Sporting CP B | 0.4 | 1.0 | 3 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lusitânia Lourosa sit 3rd in Segunda Liga (7 points from 3 matches) and Sporting CP B sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B?
- The Footlab model makes Lusitânia Lourosa the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Sporting CP B.
- Where and when is Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B played?
- Lusitânia Lourosa vs Sporting CP B is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Lusitânia FC, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.