União de Leiria vs Amarante: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
The Footlab AI model makes União de Leiria the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Amarante. The most likely score is 1-1. If União de Leiria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win União de Leiria vs Amarante?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate União de Leiria (1,996) and Amarante (1,995).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for União de Leiria vs Amarante
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
União de Leiria
4-4-2- 21Jaime
- 9Juan Muñoz
- 98Ibrahima
- 17Pablo Fernández
- 6E. Kouassi
- 19A. Lottin
- 68Maga
- 44Marcelo
- 16Zé Pedro
- 3Marc Baró
- 99J. Odehnal
Amarante
3-4-3- 5Joao Ricardo
- 88Rúben Alves
- 10M. Costa
- 8Tokinho
- 26A. Zangre
- 78Simão Silva
- 6Rodrigo Guedes
- 2Gonçalo Cunha
- 3Feliciano Mendes
- 28Diogo Costa
- 51Diogo Fernandes
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, União de Leiria have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Amarante have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bragança(home) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Academica(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | O Elvas(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Portimonense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Academica(away) | 2-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portimonense(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 União de Leiria wins, 1 draw, 0 Amarante wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Amarante 2-2 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Amarante vs União de Leiria on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
União de Leiria score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Amarante score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| União de Leiria | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Amarante | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
União de Leiria sit 9th in Segunda Liga (10 points from 7 matches) and Amarante sit 16th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | União de Leiria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 16 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about União de Leiria vs Amarante?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for União de Leiria vs Amarante?
- The Footlab AI model makes União de Leiria the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Amarante.
- Where and when is União de Leiria vs Amarante played?
- União de Leiria vs Amarante is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.