Feirense vs Chaves: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Marcolino de Castro, Santa Maria da Feira
The Footlab model makes Feirense the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Chaves. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Feirense vs Chaves?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Feirense (1,867) and Chaves (1,886).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Feirense have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Chaves have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Academica(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | União Lamas(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AVS(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sporting CP B(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Academica(home) | 1-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Guimaraes B(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Feirense win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Chaves win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Feirense 1-0 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Chaves 1-1 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Feirense 0-1 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Chaves 0-0 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2023 | Chaves 4-2 Feirense | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Chaves 3-1 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Feirense score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chaves score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feirense | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Chaves | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Feirense sit 17th in Segunda Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Chaves sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Feirense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | Chaves | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Feirense vs Chaves?
- The Footlab model makes Feirense the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Chaves.
- Where and when is Feirense vs Chaves played?
- Feirense vs Chaves is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Marcolino de Castro, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.