Feirense vs Chaves: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Marcolino de Castro, Santa Maria da Feira
The Footlab AI model makes Chaves the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Feirense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chaves wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Feirense vs Chaves?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Feirense (1,910) and Chaves (1,975).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Feirense vs Chaves
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Feirense
3-4-3- 25Henrique Pereira
- 19Alexandre Guedes
- 47Piri
- 77Gui Meira
- 90Luisinho
- 24M. Diaby
- 22Samad Popoola
- 14Pedro Pinto
- 4Antonio Leal
- 20João Oliveira
- 26Diego Altube
Chaves
4-3-3- 10André Rodrigues
- 30Costinha
- 17Roberto
- 19Gilberto García
- 42Aílson Tavares
- 16D. Yearwood
- 23Léo Alabá
- 34Ricardo Alves
- 33Tiago Simões
- 7R. Esajas
- 1João Valido
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Feirense have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Chaves have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Farense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Salgueiros(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sporting CP B(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | AVS(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Farense(away) | 0-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guarda(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Feirense win, 2 draws, 3 Chaves wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Chaves 1-0 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Feirense 1-0 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Chaves 1-1 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Feirense 0-1 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Chaves 0-0 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2023 | Chaves 4-2 Feirense | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Feirense score 0.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Chaves score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feirense | 0.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Chaves | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Feirense sit 18th in Segunda Liga (1 point from 7 matches) and Chaves sit 17th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Chaves | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
| 18 | Feirense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
A question about Feirense vs Chaves?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Feirense vs Chaves?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chaves the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Feirense.
- Where and when is Feirense vs Chaves played?
- Feirense vs Chaves is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Marcolino de Castro, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.