Penybont vs Colwyn Bay: result 1-0 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 27, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
Full time
What was the result of Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
Penybont won 1-0 on September 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 44′Jac Rhys ClayPenybont
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Colwyn Bay have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2025 | Cardiff MET(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Flint Town United(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Briton Ferry(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Bala Town(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2025 | Bala Town(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | llanelli AFC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Cardiff MET(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Briton Ferry(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Penybont win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Colwyn Bay win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | Penybont 5-0 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Colwyn Bay 1-2 Penybont | Premier League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Colwyn Bay 2-1 Penybont | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Penybont 0-1 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Penybont vs Colwyn Bay on Mar 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Colwyn Bay score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Colwyn Bay | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penybont sit 3rd in Premier League (10 points from 4 matches) and Colwyn Bay sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Colwyn Bay | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy