Adelaide United vs Perth Glory: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 08:40 AM (UTC)Coopers Stadium, Adelaide
The Footlab AI model makes Adelaide United the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Perth Glory. The most likely score is 1-1. If Adelaide United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adelaide United vs Perth Glory?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Adelaide United (1,804) and Perth Glory (1,707).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Adelaide United vs Perth Glory
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Adelaide United
4-4-2- 10Juan Muñiz
- 35Brody Burkitt
- 12J. Yull
- 55E. Alagich
- 11C. Goodwin
- 87Anselmo
- 14J. Barnett
- 4P. Kikianis
- 52S. Phillis
- 58H. Crawford
- 22J. Smits
Perth Glory
4-1-4-1- 22A. Taggart
- 13H. Hore
- 16Lucas Scicluna
- 7N. Pennington
- 27W. Freney
- 9J. Kucharski
- 45B. Kaltak
- 24A. Lebib
- 4S. Wootton
- 3S. Sutton
- 33M. Sutton
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adelaide United have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Perth Glory have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 3-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Công An Nhân Dân(home) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lions(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Adelaide United wins, 1 draw, 2 Perth Glory wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perth Glory 1-3 Adelaide United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Perth Glory 2-0 Adelaide United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Adelaide United 4-0 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Perth Glory 0-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Perth Glory 4-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Adelaide United 2-2 Perth Glory | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Perth Glory vs Adelaide United on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Adelaide United score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Perth Glory score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Perth Glory | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Adelaide United sit 2nd in A-League (43 points from 26 matches) and Perth Glory sit 10th (31 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Adelaide United | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 36 | 43 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
A question about Adelaide United vs Perth Glory?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adelaide United vs Perth Glory?
- The Footlab AI model makes Adelaide United the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Perth Glory.
- Where and when is Adelaide United vs Perth Glory played?
- Adelaide United vs Perth Glory is played on March 5, 2027 at 08:40 AM (UTC) at Coopers Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.