Where and when is Muangthong United vs Phrae United played?

Muangthong United vs Phrae United is played on October 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Thunder Dome Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Muangthong United vs Phrae United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Thunder Dome Stadium, Nonthaburi

Muangthong United

Phrae United

The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Phrae United. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Muangthong United vs Phrae United?

Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,616 vs 1,445).

Muangthong United win62 %

Draw22 %

Phrae United win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muangthong United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Phrae United have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Muangthong United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Sukhothai FC(away)	0-3	Thai League 1
May 1, 2026	BG Pathum United(home)	1-1	Thai League 1
Apr 26, 2026	Chonburi FC(away)	0-0	Thai League 1
Apr 18, 2026	Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home)	2-1	Thai League 1
Apr 5, 2026	Chiangrai United(home)	2-1	Thai League 1

Phrae United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Nakhon Pathom(home)	0-2	Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026	Police Tero(away)	1-3	Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026	Esan Pattaya(home)	0-0	Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026	Rasi Salai United(away)	2-2	Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026	Songkhla(away)	0-0	Thai League 2

How many goals should we expect?

Muangthong United score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Muangthong United	0.8	1.6	3	8/15	8/15
Phrae United	0.9	1.8	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Phrae United	34	10	13	11	40	50	43

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Muangthong United vs Phrae United?: The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Phrae United.
Where and when is Muangthong United vs Phrae United played?: Muangthong United vs Phrae United is played on October 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Thunder Dome Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.