Match

Phrae United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Huaimah Stadium, Huai Ma

Phrae UnitedNakhon Ratchasima FC

The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Phrae United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?

Nakhon Ratchasima FC starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,547 vs 1,445).

Phrae United win38 %
Draw27 %
Nakhon Ratchasima FC win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phrae United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Phrae United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-2Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Police Tero(away)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)0-0Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Rasi Salai United(away)2-2Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Songkhla(away)0-0Thai League 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Chonburi FC(away)1-2Thai League 1
May 2, 2026Sukhothai FC(home)1-0Thai League 1
Apr 25, 2026BG Pathum United(away)0-1Thai League 1
Apr 18, 2026Muangthong United(away)1-2Thai League 1
Apr 11, 2026Bangkok United(home)1-0Thai League 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Phrae United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 24, 2024Nakhon Ratchasima FC 5-0 Phrae UnitedThai League 2
Dec 3, 2023Phrae United 1-2 Nakhon Ratchasima FCThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Phrae United on Mar 24, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Phrae United0.91.847/158/15
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0.81.155/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Phrae United34101311405043

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Phrae United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
Where and when is Phrae United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC played?
Phrae United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Huaimah Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Phrae United and Nakhon Ratchasima FC

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