Phrae United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Huaimah Stadium, Huai Ma
The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phrae United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
Nakhon Ratchasima FC starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,547 vs 1,445).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phrae United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Muangthong United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Phrae United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 5-0 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Phrae United 1-2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Phrae United on Mar 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phrae United | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40 | 50 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phrae United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
- The Footlab model makes Phrae United the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
- Where and when is Phrae United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC played?
- Phrae United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Huaimah Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 17, 2026Nakhon PathomvsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Oct 17, 2026Muang Loei UnitedvsKanchanaburi
- Oct 17, 2026Police TerovsKasetsart FC
- Oct 18, 2026SatunvsChanthaburi
- Oct 18, 2026Esan PattayavsKhon Kaen United
- Oct 18, 2026Mahasarakham UnitedvsMuangthong United
- Oct 18, 2026ChainatvsUttaradit