Muang Loei United vs Kanchanaburi: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Loei Rjabhat University Stadium, Loei
The Footlab model makes Muang Loei United the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Kanchanaburi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muang Loei United vs Kanchanaburi?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Muang Loei United (1,466) and Kanchanaburi (1,542).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muang Loei United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Kanchanaburi have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Romklao United(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Police Tero(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Roi Et(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Nakhon Si City(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Chonburi FC(home) | 2-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | BG Pathum United(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Muang Loei United score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kanchanaburi score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muang Loei United | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Kanchanaburi | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muang Loei United vs Kanchanaburi?
- The Footlab model makes Muang Loei United the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Kanchanaburi.
- Where and when is Muang Loei United vs Kanchanaburi played?
- Muang Loei United vs Kanchanaburi is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Loei Rjabhat University Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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