Match

Police Tero vs Kasetsart FC: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok

Police TeroKasetsart FC

The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Kasetsart FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Police Tero vs Kasetsart FC?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Police Tero (1,474) and Kasetsart FC (1,399).

Police Tero win54 %
Draw25 %
Kasetsart FC win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police Tero have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Kasetsart FC have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Police Tero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-3Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Chanthaburi(away)1-1Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Phrae United(home)3-1Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Chainat(away)1-2Thai League 2
Kasetsart FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Chiangmai United(home)3-4Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)0-1Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Trat FC(home)4-0Thai League 2
Mar 25, 2026Sisaket United(home)1-1Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Esan Pattaya(away)0-3Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Police Tero win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Kasetsart FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Police Tero 1-1 Kasetsart FCThai League 2
Nov 1, 2025Kasetsart FC 1-3 Police TeroThai League 2
Apr 20, 2025Kasetsart FC 1-1 Police TeroThai League 2
Dec 22, 2024Police Tero 0-1 Kasetsart FCThai League 2
Aug 18, 2019Kasetsart FC 1-1 Police TeroThai League 2
Apr 21, 2019Police Tero 1-1 Kasetsart FCThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Police Tero vs Kasetsart FC on Feb 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kasetsart FC score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Police Tero1.21.9112/159/15
Kasetsart FC1.11.348/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Police Tero sit 5th in Thai League 2 (53 points from 34 matches) and Kasetsart FC sit 16th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Police Tero3415811504453
16Kasetsart FC3491114464938

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Police Tero vs Kasetsart FC?
The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Kasetsart FC.
Where and when is Police Tero vs Kasetsart FC played?
Police Tero vs Kasetsart FC is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Police Tero and Kasetsart FC

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