Piacenza vs Virtus Verona: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Leonardo Garilli, Piacenza
The Footlab model makes Piacenza the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Virtus Verona. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Piacenza vs Virtus Verona?
Piacenza starts as the favourite with a 241-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,614).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piacenza have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Virtus Verona have 0, 7 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 10, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Crema(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Piacenza win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Virtus Verona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | Virtus Verona 1-2 Piacenza | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Piacenza 1-1 Virtus Verona | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 1, 2022 | Piacenza 1-0 Virtus Verona | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Virtus Verona 1-1 Piacenza | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Virtus Verona 0-0 Piacenza | Serie C - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Verona vs Piacenza on Jan 8, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Piacenza score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Verona score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piacenza | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Virtus Verona | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Piacenza vs Virtus Verona?
- The Footlab model makes Piacenza the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Virtus Verona.
- Where and when is Piacenza vs Virtus Verona played?
- Piacenza vs Virtus Verona is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Leonardo Garilli, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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