Scanzorosciate vs Real Calepina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Unione Sportiva Scanzorosciate, Scanzorosciate
The Footlab model makes Scanzorosciate the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Real Calepina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scanzorosciate vs Real Calepina?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Scanzorosciate (1,751) and Real Calepina (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scanzorosciate have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Real Calepina have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Albinoleffe(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Real Calepina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | USD Casatese(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sondrio(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Breno(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Milan II(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Scanzorosciate win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Real Calepina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Real Calepina 1-1 Scanzorosciate | Serie D - Girone B |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Scanzorosciate 1-2 Real Calepina | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Real Calepina vs Scanzorosciate on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Scanzorosciate score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Calepina score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scanzorosciate | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Calepina | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scanzorosciate sit 8th in Serie D - Girone B (47 points from 34 matches) and Real Calepina sit 12th (42 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 47 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 47 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scanzorosciate vs Real Calepina?
- The Footlab model makes Scanzorosciate the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Real Calepina.
- Where and when is Scanzorosciate vs Real Calepina played?
- Scanzorosciate vs Real Calepina is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Unione Sportiva Scanzorosciate, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026PiacenzavsVirtus Verona
- Sep 13, 2026BrusaportovsTritium
- Sep 13, 2026Villa VallevsVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
- Sep 13, 2026Caldiero TermevsLeon Monza e Brianza
- Sep 13, 2026Pro PalazzolovsMilan II
- Sep 13, 2026Rovato VertovesevsChievo
- Sep 13, 2026Nibbiano & ValtidonevsFiorenzuola
- Sep 13, 2026PavonesevsClub Milano