Rovato Vertovese vs Chievo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Rovato Vertovese the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Chievo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rovato Vertovese vs Chievo?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Rovato Vertovese (1,753) and Chievo (1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rovato Vertovese have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Chievo have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Imolese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sangiuliano City(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 10, 2026 | Milan II(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | Pavia(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Rovato Vertovese win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Chievo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | Chievo 0-1 Rovato Vertovese | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Chievo vs Rovato Vertovese on Oct 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Rovato Vertovese score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chievo score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rovato Vertovese | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Chievo | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rovato Vertovese vs Chievo?
- The Footlab model makes Rovato Vertovese the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Chievo.
- Where and when is Rovato Vertovese vs Chievo played?
- Rovato Vertovese vs Chievo is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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