Match

Villa Valle vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, Villa D'Almè

Villa ValleVirtus Ciserano Bergamo

The Footlab model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villa Valle vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Villa Valle (1,688) and Virtus Ciserano Bergamo (1,692).

Villa Valle win40 %
Draw30 %
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Valle have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villa Valle
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Breno(away)1-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Oltrepò(home)1-3Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Caldiero Terme(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026Milan II(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Castellanzese(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Pavia(away)0-3Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Vogherese(home)6-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Villa Valle(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026Varesina(home)1-2Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Villa Valle win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Villa Valle 1-1 Virtus Ciserano BergamoSerie D - Girone B
Nov 30, 2025Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-0 Villa ValleSerie D - Girone B
Aug 31, 2025Villa Valle 0-1 Virtus Ciserano BergamoCoppa Italia Serie D
Jan 25, 2025Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 3-3 Villa ValleSerie D - Girone C
Sep 28, 2024Villa Valle 0-2 Virtus Ciserano BergamoSerie D - Girone C
Feb 18, 2024Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-2 Villa ValleSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Villa Valle vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Villa Valle score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Ciserano Bergamo score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villa Valle1.01.4310/156/15
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo0.91.147/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Villa Valle sit 9th in Serie D - Girone B (47 points from 34 matches) and Virtus Ciserano Bergamo sit 10th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Villa Valle3413813434647
10Virtus Ciserano Bergamo34111310333146

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villa Valle vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
The Footlab model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo.
Where and when is Villa Valle vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo played?
Villa Valle vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Villa Valle and Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

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