Villa Valle vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, Villa D'Almè
The Footlab model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa Valle vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Villa Valle (1,688) and Virtus Ciserano Bergamo (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Valle have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Breno(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caldiero Terme(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Milan II(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vogherese(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Villa Valle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Villa Valle win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Villa Valle 1-1 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-0 Villa Valle | Serie D - Girone B |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Villa Valle 0-1 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 3-3 Villa Valle | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Villa Valle 0-2 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Serie D - Girone C |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-2 Villa Valle | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Villa Valle vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Valle score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Ciserano Bergamo score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Valle | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa Valle sit 9th in Serie D - Girone B (47 points from 34 matches) and Virtus Ciserano Bergamo sit 10th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 47 |
| 10 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa Valle vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
- The Footlab model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo.
- Where and when is Villa Valle vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo played?
- Villa Valle vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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