Pierikos vs Karitsa: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 5Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Katerinis, Katerini
The Footlab model makes Pierikos the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Karitsa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pierikos vs Karitsa?
Karitsa starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,634 vs 1,522).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pierikos have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Karitsa have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Veria(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Alexandreia(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(away) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2021 | Aetos Makrychoriou(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 30, 2021 | Anagennisi Karditsas(home) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 26, 2021 | Elassona(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 23, 2021 | Fikis(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2021 | Iraklis Larissa(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Pierikos win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Karitsa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | Pierikos 0-0 Karitsa | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Karitsa 1-0 Pierikos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Pierikos score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karitsa score 2.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierikos | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Karitsa | 2.0 | 0.5 | 11 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pierikos vs Karitsa?
- The Footlab model makes Pierikos the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Karitsa.
- Where and when is Pierikos vs Karitsa played?
- Pierikos vs Karitsa is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Katerinis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.