Sarakinos vs Ermis Exochi: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 5Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Sarakinos the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Ermis Exochi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sarakinos wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarakinos vs Ermis Exochi?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Sarakinos (1,546) and Ermis Exochi (1,626).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sarakinos vs Ermis Exochi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sarakinos
Not enough data to predict the Sarakinos lineup.
Ermis Exochi
Not enough data to predict the Ermis Exochi lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarakinos have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Ermis Exochi have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trikala(away) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pierikos(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Karitsa(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kozani(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Iraklis Larissa(home) | 4-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Feraios(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Elassona(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Anthoupoli(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Alexandreia(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sarakinos wins, 0 draws, 2 Ermis Exochi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | Sarakinos 1-2 Ermis Exochi | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Ermis Exochi 4-1 Sarakinos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Sarakinos vs Ermis Exochi on Dec 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sarakinos score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ermis Exochi score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarakinos | 1.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Ermis Exochi | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarakinos sit 7th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (3 points from 2 matches) and Ermis Exochi sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ermis Exochi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Sarakinos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
A question about Sarakinos vs Ermis Exochi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarakinos vs Ermis Exochi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sarakinos the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Ermis Exochi.
- Where and when is Sarakinos vs Ermis Exochi played?
- Sarakinos vs Ermis Exochi is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.