Recanatese vs Sporting Trestina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Nicola Tubaldi, Recanati
The Footlab AI model makes Recanatese the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Sporting Trestina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Recanatese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recanatese vs Sporting Trestina?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Recanatese (1,614) and Sporting Trestina (1,618).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Recanatese vs Sporting Trestina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Recanatese
Not enough data to predict the Recanatese lineup.
Sporting Trestina
Not enough data to predict the Sporting Trestina lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recanatese have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Sporting Trestina have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Recanatese score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Trestina score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recanatese | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Sporting Trestina | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Recanatese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone F (6 points from 7 matches) and Sporting Trestina sit 18th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Recanatese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Recanatese vs Sporting Trestina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recanatese vs Sporting Trestina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Recanatese the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Sporting Trestina.
- Where and when is Recanatese vs Sporting Trestina played?
- Recanatese vs Sporting Trestina is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nicola Tubaldi, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.