Santegidiese vs Termoli Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Santegidiese the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Termoli Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santegidiese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santegidiese vs Termoli Calcio?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Santegidiese (1,661) and Termoli Calcio (1,654).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santegidiese vs Termoli Calcio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santegidiese
Not enough data to predict the Santegidiese lineup.
Termoli Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Termoli Calcio lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Santegidiese have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Termoli Calcio have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Giulianova(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Angelana(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fossombrone(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Santegidiese score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 6; Termoli Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santegidiese | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1 | 4/6 | 2/6 |
| Termoli Calcio | 0.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santegidiese sit 11th in Serie D - Girone F (8 points from 7 matches) and Termoli Calcio sit 8th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Termoli Calcio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 11 | Santegidiese | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Santegidiese vs Termoli Calcio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santegidiese vs Termoli Calcio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santegidiese the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Termoli Calcio.
- Where and when is Santegidiese vs Termoli Calcio played?
- Santegidiese vs Termoli Calcio is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.