Cittadella Vis Modena vs Crema: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Allegretti Campo A, San Damaso
The Footlab model makes Cittadella Vis Modena the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Crema. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cittadella Vis Modena vs Crema?
Cittadella Vis Modena starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,745 vs 1,640).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cittadella Vis Modena have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Crema have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sangiuliano City(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Rovato Vertovese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Coriano(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Piacenza(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sangiuliano City(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Cittadella Vis Modena win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Crema win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Crema 0-0 Cittadella Vis Modena | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Cittadella Vis Modena 2-1 Crema | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Crema vs Cittadella Vis Modena on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cittadella Vis Modena score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Crema score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cittadella Vis Modena | 0.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Crema | 0.7 | 1.2 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cittadella Vis Modena sit 7th in Serie D - Girone D (55 points from 33 matches) and Crema sit 11th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
| 11 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 47 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Crema?
- The Footlab model makes Cittadella Vis Modena the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Crema.
- Where and when is Cittadella Vis Modena vs Crema played?
- Cittadella Vis Modena vs Crema is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Allegretti Campo A, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.