Pro Sesto vs Pistoiese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
The Footlab AI model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Pro Sesto. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pistoiese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pro Sesto vs Pistoiese?
Pistoiese starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,858 vs 1,693).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pro Sesto vs Pistoiese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pro Sesto
Not enough data to predict the Pro Sesto lineup.
Pistoiese
Not enough data to predict the Pistoiese lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pro Sesto have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Pistoiese have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arconatese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Crema(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Varesina(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Pro Sesto wins, 2 draws, 0 Pistoiese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Pro Sesto 0-0 Pistoiese | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Pistoiese 0-2 Pro Sesto | Serie D - Girone D |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Pro Sesto 2-2 Pistoiese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Pistoiese 1-2 Pro Sesto | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Pro Sesto vs Pistoiese on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pro Sesto score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pistoiese score 1.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Sesto | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Pistoiese | 1.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pro Sesto sit 5th in Serie D - Girone D (14 points from 7 matches) and Pistoiese sit 1st (21 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 21 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 14 |
A question about Pro Sesto vs Pistoiese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pro Sesto vs Pistoiese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Pro Sesto.
- Where and when is Pro Sesto vs Pistoiese played?
- Pro Sesto vs Pistoiese is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ernesto Breda, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.