Planaltina DF vs Legião: prediction and stats
Brasiliense BRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Planaltina DF the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Legião. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Planaltina DF vs Legião?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Planaltina DF (1,602) and Legião (1,563).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Planaltina DF have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Legião have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Luziânia(away) | 1-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Brasília(home) | 0-2 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Candango(away) | 7-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 20, 2025 | GREVAL(away) | 2-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Riacho City(home) | 6-0 | Brasiliense B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Real FC(away) | 1-2 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Sobradinho EC(away) | 0-2 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Ceilandense(home) | 1-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Ceilândia(home) | 1-2 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Capital Brasilia(away) | 0-1 | Brasiliense |
How many goals should we expect?
Planaltina DF score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Legião score 0.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Planaltina DF | 1.4 | 1.4 | 6 | 1/15 | 7/15 |
| Legião | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Planaltina DF vs Legião?
- The Footlab model makes Planaltina DF the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Legião.
- Where and when is Planaltina DF vs Legião played?
- Planaltina DF vs Legião is played on October 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Brasiliense B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.